Mapping the Future

Mapping the Future is a five year, $10m Northern Territory Government initiative. The program will assess natural resource development potential in strategic locations.

From 2018 to 2022 the program will survey and map:

  • land capability
  • water availability and
  • biodiversity assets.

To support land planning, reduce investment decision risk and encourage the private sector to do business in the Territory.

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An overview

Mapping the Future will identify and measure the Northern Territory's natural resource capability. The program will take a broader approach compared to any other work done before. It will help:

  • guide and support future economic growth and
  • improve our natural resource knowledge base in areas with high development potential that are ready for development.

Being able to assess the potential of our natural resources will:

  • assist and support development in the Territory
  • give us the ability to better manage our resources and
  • provide local communities with development options.

Prefeasibility assessments will:

  • reduce risk to investment decisions
  • assist strategic land use planning and identification of priority development zones and
  • provide an evidence based tool that supports sustainable management and use of our natural resources.

Mapping the Future will:

  • support our regions sustainable economic growth
  • improve job opportunities and infrastructure in the community and
  • assist protection of our environment.

Potential assessment areas

Identifying potential areas for Mapping the Future involved a range of actions.

We conducted extensive consultations and had robust discussions with stakeholders from:

  • industry
  • government and
  • non-government organisations.

We referenced government development policies, such as:

  • Economic Development Framework
  • 10 year Infrastructure Plan
  • Major Projects program and
  • Potential NT Mining Development program.

We also recognised:

  • existing data and information
  • transport routes
  • power and communication services
  • local workforce
  • distance to market
  • areas where government are already investing or plan to invest in infrastructure and
  • areas where developers are ready to invest.

Prioritising assessment areas

Significantly more potential assessment areas were identified than the program has capacity to investigate. Prioritising involved assessing the cost and difficulty of collecting required data versus how attractive the land is for development and investment.

Mapping the Future’s assessment matrix for potential areas. Matrix is a square broken into 4 quarters. Ranges of high and low for: a) difficulty in acquiring Natural Resource knowledge (height: top corner = high and bottom left corner = low); and b) Proposectivity – how attract is the land for development and investment (base: left corner = low and right corner = high). Top left quadrant is Tiers 3 and 4 – watching for changes in propsectivity factors and inventory and technology/options. Top right quadrant is Tier 2 – Government needs to lead way (market failure and/or regulatory failure risk. Bottom left quadrant shows watching the brief. Bottom right quadrant is Tier 1 – If strategic, low hanging fruit.

Tier 1 areas provide strong return for effort and where significant knowledge of the natural resources already exist.

Tier 2 areas are those where Government investment will address knowledge gaps that currently represent a risk to industry or developers.

Tier 3 areas are those where market conditions or technology may need to change before a development project becomes viable.

Priority areas

Applying the prioritisation matrix resulted in 12 areas being selected for assessment over the five year program. See priority areas for 2018 to 2022 (1.9 mb).

In addition to the selection criteria the selected priority areas will provide assessments in a variety of environments:

  • Peri-urban, rural, remote and Aboriginal communities
  • supporting multiple industries including mining, agriculture, horticulture and tourism
  • Top End and Arid Zone
  • fine scale assessments for intensive developments and regional scale where knowledge is limited, but there is a need to identify major land use constraints to inform development assessment advice.

In 2018-19 the Mapping the Future's program will focus on:

  • Wadeye
  • Greater Katherine
  • Western Davenport and
  • Gunn Point.

Reports and maps

The Mapping the Future program builds upon the existing natural resource knowledge base.

Surveys, reports and maps published under the Land and Water Program 2014-18, that align with the objectives of Mapping the Future, are being incorporated into this program.

These are being supplemented by more information to identify land capability, water availability and biodiversity assets.

Mapping the Future projects already underway

The following projects are already underway:

  • Gunn Point
  • Katherine
  • Larrimah
  • Wadeye
  • West Davenport

Mapping the Future projects yet to commence

The following projects are yet to commence:

  • Gulf Fall
  • Lower Roper
  • Sturt Plateau
  • Arid Zone
  • Alice Springs

Completed projects under the Land and Water Program 2014-18

The following projects are completed under the Land and Water Program 2014-18:

  • Kurnturlpara and part of Warumungu Aboriginal Land Trusts
  • North East Bathurst (Tiwi Islands)
  • Orange Creek
  • Tennant Creek West
  • Ti Tree
  • Wildman

Other related publications, spatial data and maps

Read about Land, soil and vegetation information and go to online maps.

Go to Land, soil and vegetation technical information for more information on soils and vegetation of the NT.

Visit the Northern Territory Library for other reports published by the department.

Spatial datasets are available for download.

Contacts

For further information on the Mapping the Future project contact the Project Director.

Simon Cruickshank
Phone: 08 8999 3676
simon.cruickshank@nt.gov.au

Last updated: 22 May 2019